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MACRO INTELLIGENCE MEMO

Sun Pharma: Dilip Shanghvi's Export-Focused Strategy

DATE: June 2030 | SUBJECT: Executive Leadership | CLASSIFICATION: C-Suite Edition


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Dilip Shanghvi, Sun Pharma Founder/Chairman, executed focused crisis strategy:

  1. Maintained AI drug discovery investment (Q2 2029)
  2. Continued capex on AI platforms despite macro stress
  3. Rationale: AI represents long-term competitive advantage in drug discovery

  4. Dividend maintenance (Q2 2030)

  5. Dividend at ₹4/share maintained
  6. Signaled confidence in pharma sector resilience and export margins

  7. Export focus (Q3 2029 onwards)

  8. Shifted marketing emphasis toward export markets
  9. Benefited from rupee depreciation (natural hedge)
  10. Less exposed to Indian consumption collapse

RESULTS

By June 2030: - Stock: -8% (vs. Nifty-50 -34%) - Market cap: $16.2B - Operating margin: 21.8% (stable) - Export revenue: Growing despite macro headwinds - Dividend: Maintained

Shanghvi's leadership: Maintain strategic investment (AI) despite crisis; focus on export opportunity (rupee depreciation); communicate confidence through dividend.


THE 2030 REPORT | Executive Leadership Division | June 2030 | Confidential