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MACRO INTELLIGENCE MEMO

ITC: Sanjiv Puri's Portfolio Resilience Strategy

DATE: June 2030 | SUBJECT: Executive Leadership | CLASSIFICATION: C-Suite Edition


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Sanjiv Puri, ITC Chairman, executed portfolio-level crisis management:

  1. Maintained FMCG market share despite consumption collapse (Q2 2029)
  2. Invested in value product expansion
  3. Benefited from currency depreciation (rupee-denominated costs)
  4. Rural distribution competitive advantage

  5. Counter-cyclical hotel repositioning (Q4 2029)

  6. Converted 40% of luxury properties to mid-range
  7. Captured budget travelers as leisure demand collapsed
  8. Hotel occupancy fell 8% vs. industry -42%

  9. Dividend maintenance (Q2 2030)

  10. Dividend at ₹5.25/share maintained
  11. Signaled portfolio strength

RESULTS

By June 2030: - Stock: -12% (vs. Nifty-50 -34%) - Market cap: $22B - FMCG market share: +120 bps - Hotel occupancy: -8% (vs. industry -42%) - Dividend: Maintained and sustainable

Puri's leadership: Leverage portfolio diversification; adjust business models tactically (hotels); communicate resilience through dividend. Result: ITC outperformed 91% of Indian large-caps.


THE 2030 REPORT | Executive Leadership Division | June 2030 | Confidential