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MACRO INTELLIGENCE MEMO

Bharti Airtel: Gopal Vittal's Strategic Diversification Leadership

DATE: June 2030 | SUBJECT: Executive Positioning | CLASSIFICATION: C-Suite Edition


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Gopal Vittal, Bharti Airtel CEO, executed focused crisis strategy:

  1. Maintain capex on 5G despite pressure (Q2 2029)
  2. Continued ₹280B annual 5G capex even as consumer demand weakened
  3. Rationale: 5G infrastructure creates multi-year competitive advantage
  4. Outcome: 5G subscribers reached 8% of base with 150x premium ARPU

  5. Aggressive Africa growth investment (Q4 2029)

  6. Announced expansion into West Africa (Nigeria, Ghana)
  7. Africa now 24% of consolidated revenue
  8. Enabled diversification away from challenged India market

  9. Dividend maintenance (Q2 2030)

  10. Dividend at ₹1.25/share maintained
  11. Signaled confidence despite India headwinds
  12. Attracted dividend-seeking investors

RESULTS

By June 2030: - Stock: -18% (vs. Nifty-50 -34%) - Market cap: $28B - 5G subscribers: 8% of base (growing) - Africa EBITDA: ₹3,200 crore - Dividend maintained and growing

Vittal's leadership: Maintain strategic investment (5G) despite crisis; expand diversification (Africa); communicate confidence through dividend. Classic quality CEO approach during disruption.


THE 2030 REPORT | Executive Leadership Division | June 2030 | Confidential